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Aircraft Archive: McDonnell Douglas MD11
Long Term Residual Values Start to Take Account of New Market Entrants
Long term forecasts increasingly need to take account of new market entrants that have the potential to rip asunder the current duopoly. Residual forecast regularly predict values for the next 15, 20 and even 25 years. There is sometimes a temptation to consider that the current aviation structure will persist…

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May 10, 2010
AVN
Peak in Values Expected in 2013
Improvement in Values Will Be Muted While values have still yet to bottom out, there is a growing need to determine when the next peak will occur as owners consider the most advantageous point for disposal. Cycles, in terms of aircraft values, are not consistent in terms of form or…

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April 12, 2010
AVN
Older Widebodies Make Good Restaurants
The Museum Effect has taken hold of older widebody values such that donation has become a more tax efficient means of disposal as well as offering the potential for a plaque to be installed for the giver, reflecting an enduring contribution to aviation. With so few in service, even parting…

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February 15, 2010
AVN
JAL Restructuring Underlines MD90 Vulnerability
As part of its restructuring JAL is to divest itself of its fleet of some 16 MD90s. The type has always subject to waning values for perhaps a decade. Despite the JAL issue Delta has announced that it will acquire nine MD90s from China Eastern as well as two from…

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February 1, 2010
AVN
Rates Reach Trough
With lease rentals having already fallen so far, there is little opportunity to fall further. The older widebodies may be among the least desirable of types but lessors cannot keep on lowering rentals to stimulate demand. Instead, sometimes there has to be acknowledgement that aircraft have to be simply parked.…

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November 23, 2009
AVN
Older Widebodies At Scrap Levels
The fate of the older widebodies has been sealed for some time. Values have declined to scrap levels from which there is no expectation of a recovery. Unfortunately in this market, the older widebodies reached scrap levels much sooner than expected, never to recover. Against the backdrop of much more…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
Probable B777 Freight Conversion Highlights Value Erosion
B777-200/-200ER Values Have Suffered Allowing Conversion Potential The imminent launch of a conversion program for the B777-200 and -200ER may provide some reassurance that there will be a future for those aircraft due to be retired in the coming years but it also underlines just how much values have fallen…

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October 12, 2009
AVN
“Majority of the world’s freighter fleets will have to be permanently grounded” - Lufthansa
Despite the apparent marginal improvement in the economy of some countries, reportedly Lufthansa has indicated that should the current market conditions persist for any length of time then the “majority of the world’s freighter fleet will have to be permanently grounded”. The comments have been reportedly made in a 27…

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September 14, 2009
AVN