FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
B777-9 Delay Forces Causes Problems for Current & Residual Values
The delay of at least another two years for the B777-9 is causing problems when calculating the current and residual values of the type. When launched in 2013, the B777-9 was scheduled to enter service in 2019 and even as of 2018, the type was expected to be only a…

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May 9, 2022
AVN
Aircraft Asset Assessment - ATR72-600
Market Presence. The production of the -600 is set to increase once more which indicates that the regional market may be improving. But there are still nearly 140 -600s that are inactive even as over 420 are now active. The market for the -600 is perhaps still fragile with some…

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May 9, 2022
AVN
Market for ATR72-600 Stable – For Now
The market for the -600 had experienced a measure of weakness not least due to Covid and the problems of NAC but a measure of stability is now evident. The values of turboprops have seen stability for more than ten years because of a product line that that has seen…

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May 9, 2022
AVN
War Weighs Down VIP Aircraft
The Covid Event provided a fillip for dedicated VIP aircraft as the high net worth individuals sought both safe haven and personal space and even now the opening of the market allows more destinations to be served by such aircraft. The Russia-Ukrainian War is having an effect even if oligarch…

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May 9, 2022
AVN
Older Narrowbody Rates Fail to Gain Traction
While the lease rentals of newer narrowbodies – those in production – are managing to rise through a mixture of rising interest rates and demand, those for older A319ceos, A320ceos, A321ceos, B737-700s and B737-800s are failing to see any significant rises. While the U.S. has seen substantial demand virtually throughout…

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May 9, 2022
AVN
A320ceo Values Weaker But Match Pre-Covid Projections
After a measure of stability and indeed improvement, values of the A320ceo have declined slightly as the focus on newer types continues. The values of a new A320ceo in 2007 amounted to approximately $49 million. This is only slightly below the current market value of a new A320neo. The last…

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May 9, 2022
AVN
Visualizing Residual Risk – Regional Jet Residuals Under Pressure
The residual values of regional jets are likely to see significant changes in the next 10-15 years as the market structure changes and the need to address carbon emissions. There is currently a single regional jet manufacturer in the West – Embraer. At one time BAe, Bombardier, Embraer, Fairchild-Dornier, Fokker,…

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May 9, 2022
AVN
Risk of Lower Residuals for Fossil Fuel Powered Aircraft
Finance Increasingly Favoring Zero-Emission Technology The inexorable move towards alternative fuels and the need for lessors and financial institutions to meet ESG objectives is inevitably channeling some aircraft finance away from traditional leasing and aircraft financing which has the potential to accelerate the retirement of older aircraft types, thereby impacting…

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May 9, 2022
AVN
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