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FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
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Aircraft Archive: Boeing B747-400
B737-400 Values Inevitably Fall
The values of the -400 were falling even before Covid despite the demand for freighter conversion and the decline has been accelerated. Over the period 2004-2007 rentals of the B737-400 had been improving but since then have experienced significant declines before more recently seeing a lower rate of decline. Aircraft…

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July 20, 2020
AVN
Assumptions
The listing of current and future values is based on the year of build. The essential assumption is that the aircraft are being sold as a single unit and between a willing seller and willing buyer for cash. The high and low figures represent adjustments for offer and sale prices,…

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July 6, 2020
AVN
Freighter Conversions Gain Momentum
Widebody Conversions Gain Traction But Pricing Needs to be Competitive The significant reduction in the value of passenger aircraft and the current resilience of the freighter market makes for greater interest in freighter conversions but with the world economy facing recession a sense of realism is needed to manage expectations.…

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May 25, 2020
AVN
Lease Rentals of Widebodies Face Uphill Battle
  There can no escaping the magnitude of the decline in widebody rentals nor the difficulty in registering an improvement. The international sector has registered a precipitous fall in demand which is leaving thousands of aircraft idle. Even where services have been restarted, these have been limited in number with…

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May 25, 2020
AVN
Widebody Values Plunge
The fall in the values of widebodies has been precipitous and significant. While the market has experienced downturns before, the global nature of the crisis, coupled with the specific and long lasting effect on aviation, has meant that the widebodies have suffered the greatest declines. The values of widebodies will…

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April 27, 2020
AVN
A380 Values Affected Most by Downturn
Out of an operational fleet of 242 listed by Airbus as of the end of February 2020, there were only 13 A380s in service at the time of writing with every other A380 aircraft listed as being in storage. While a swathe of other aircraft types that are laying idle…

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April 14, 2020
AVN
Distressed Values Becomes Relevant Again
The need for financial institutions to consider asset values should a sale be necessary brings distressed sale discounting to the fore once more. The level of discounting needed to dispose of aircraft on a distressed – or fire sale – had achieved a measure of stability for some more popular…

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April 14, 2020
AVN
Aircraft Values in Economic Downturns
Any forecasting needs to draw upon past events. The industry has been through some seven major M events over the course of the last 50 years. The invasion of Kuwait in 1990 led to a significant decline in the global economy while the events of 2001 had a direct effect…

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March 30, 2020
AVN
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