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FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
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Aircraft Archive: Airbus A320NEO
Appraiser T Sees “Many More Negative Changes” to Values and Lease Rentals
There continues to be a divergence of opinion among appraisers on the effect of the Covid event on values and lease rentals both in terms of magnitude and timing although the methodology employed will have a bearing on the assessment. Following on from the previous analysis of the changes to…

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July 20, 2020
AVN
New Narrowbodies See Sub 20% Reductions
  The values of nearly all passenger aircraft have been impacted by the Covid event to a greater or lesser extent but the newer narrowbodies such as the A320neo and B737MAX have fallen by the least amount. On a comparative basis – pre Covid March versus Covid April for example…

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July 20, 2020
AVN
Assumptions
The listing of current and future values is based on the year of build. The essential assumption is that the aircraft are being sold as a single unit and between a willing seller and willing buyer for cash. The high and low figures represent adjustments for offer and sale prices,…

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July 6, 2020
AVN
Demand for Airliner Business Aircraft Could Rise
The use of the airliner type of aircraft could rise in the near term as VVIPs seek to avoid the restrictions imposed on normal flights and because of the availability of more modern aircraft. The demand for airliner jets is expected to increase as the very wealthy seek to ensure…

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June 22, 2020
AVN
Long Term Residual Values Influenced by Government Bailouts
While there is naturally considerable focus on current market values and how they might improve in the short term, there is also a clear need to consider the effect of the Covid event on long term values and in this regard the French bailout of the aerospace sector. A number…

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June 22, 2020
AVN
Values of B787-9 “Could Drop by Between 3% & 7%” vs “Have Fallen by 26%”
While the pandemic is being contained in some countries but remains virulent in others, there is equally a discrepancy in approaches of various appraisal companies in terms of the effect – if any – on aircraft values. The appraisal community may have a governing body but there is no consistency…

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June 8, 2020
AVN
Long Term Residuals See Some Gains As Manufacturers Delay New Programs
The calculation of long-term residual values inevitably encompasses an assessment of future demand in the context of product life cycles and the arrival of new products, but the Covid event sees a delay to developments that will benefit existing types. The manufacturers have already introduced significant reductions to production rates…

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May 25, 2020
AVN
Lease Rentals Experience Massive Fall
The lease rentals can be expected to fall even further than values in the short term. The lessors will seek to stave off the clamouring for rent reductions as much as possible but there has to be a measure of realism. Leases could be extended for 3-6 months or rates…

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May 11, 2020
AVN